Manifold Markets
Manifold Markets / Manifold Markets, Inc.
About this app
- Age 10
- Updated Apr 23, 2025
- OS IOS / Android
Editor reviews
Manifold Markets is a social prediction market app where you forecast real-world events and see crowd probabilities update in real time. Follow news-driven topics, discuss with a community of forecasters, and track how accurate you are over time. Trade virtual shares to express your beliefs, create custom markets with clear resolution rules, and learn from the wisdom of the crowd.
Core features:
- Real-time probabilities on news, tech, sports, crypto, and more
- Create your own markets with deadlines and resolution criteria
- Community discussions, leaderboards, and personalized feeds
- Portfolio, alerts, and performance stats to measure your forecasting skill
Ideal for anyone who wants a social forecasting tool, a prediction market app for staying ahead of the news, and a smarter way to gauge event odds without complex finance jargon.
Screenshots
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How to use:
1. Download the app and sign up with email or social login, then choose a username and interests.
2. Explore the Discover feed or use Search to find trending or niche markets across your favorite topics.
3. Open a market to review its description, comments, and probability chart, then buy Yes or No shares with virtual points to make your forecast.
4. Create your own market by setting the question, deadline, and resolution rules, then publish it to invite community predictions.
5. Track your portfolio and notifications, follow forecasters, join discussions, and adjust positions as news develops and probabilities move.